Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.007700 0.008658 0.009704 0.010935 0.012347 0.013919 0.015807
2025-01-12 0.005955 0.007201 0.008680 0.010575 0.012954 0.015862 0.019717
2025-01-19 0.005009 0.006348 0.008025 0.010300 0.013337 0.017294 0.022916
2025-01-26 0.004443 0.005849 0.007688 0.010302 0.013975 0.019028 0.026645
2025-02-02 0.004164 0.005670 0.007719 0.010756 0.015228 0.021697 0.032005
2025-02-09 0.003781 0.005295 0.007423 0.010693 0.015701 0.023265 0.035918
2025-02-16 0.003510 0.005044 0.007266 0.010794 0.016404 0.025230 0.040696
2025-02-23 0.003216 0.004725 0.006969 0.010640 0.016671 0.026513 0.044498
2025-03-02 0.003032 0.004554 0.006876 0.010783 0.017417 0.028646 0.050054
2025-03-09 0.002823 0.004323 0.006664 0.010707 0.017775 0.030144 0.054662
2025-03-16 0.002564 0.003989 0.006258 0.010263 0.017443 0.030370 0.056871
2025-03-23 0.002404 0.003804 0.006077 0.010182 0.017740 0.031763 0.061563
2025-03-30 0.002346 0.003789 0.006189 0.010642 0.019111 0.035419 0.071659
2025-04-06 0.002151 0.003527 0.005859 0.010280 0.018901 0.035987 0.075319
2025-04-13 0.001991 0.003315 0.005597 0.010015 0.018842 0.036843 0.079751
2025-04-20 0.001888 0.003192 0.005484 0.010017 0.019313 0.038853 0.087213
2025-04-27 0.001856 0.003193 0.005593 0.010457 0.020730 0.043090 0.100883
2025-05-04 0.001758 0.003067 0.005456 0.010395 0.021077 0.044994 0.109053
2025-05-11 0.001689 0.002989 0.005402 0.010494 0.021782 0.047813 0.120204
2025-05-18 0.001596 0.002858 0.005236 0.010344 0.021911 0.049279 0.127933
2025-05-25 0.001543 0.002800 0.005209 0.010483 0.022715 0.052508 0.141389
2025-06-01 0.001470 0.002699 0.005088 0.010409 0.023010 0.054495 0.151606
2025-06-08 0.001365 0.002530 0.004817 0.009979 0.022402 0.054061 0.154275